2018 retrodiction
Did Modrić deserve 2018?
A historical race rerun through the same published 100-point framework.
Real-data provisional ranking
Every displayed component is computed from current API-Football fixture, event, player-stat, standings, and pre-match Elo evidence. The ranking remains provisional—not illustrative—until the locked 2024–2025 historical holdout gate is complete.
Awaiting backtest
The backtest route and divergence report are ready; publication waits for the API-Football historical coverage audit and official top-10 reference import.
No modeled winner is shown until the coverage audit and validation gate pass.
Official top three
Publication protocol
01 · Audit
Confirm historical competition, player, fixture, and match-stat coverage in API-Football.
02 · Score
Run the frozen methodology and generate the complete component decomposition.
03 · Validate
Compare the top ten with the official ranking, publish Spearman ρ, and explain every divergence.